The IT service provider adesso ventures a glimpse into the future, analysing five hypothetical headlines for 2025 to assess their plausibility. The list shows how the current hype surrounding GenAI could continue – or not:
- “GenAI is sweeping through the working world like a hurricane – no job is safe.”
GenAI will undoubtedly be a game changer. From automated contract design to the real-time analysis of business data – the possible applications are virtually unlimited. But does this really mean a revolution? The reality is: professions and job descriptions have always evolved. Two decades ago, job titles such as social media manager or big data analyst sounded exotic. However, new roles and different areas of responsibility are part of the working world. This has always been the case and applies to every technological revolution. Is it a complete reorganisation? Hardly. But it’s still excit-ing.
How true? 50 percent – the world of work is becoming more dynamic, but it is not being overtaken by AI.
- “Software development no longer requires human expertise.”
The prophets of automation had envisioned a different outcome: writing code, fixing bugs, building applications – they thought all this would work like magic with GenAI. But the reality tells a different story. There’s no question that technology can make developers’ everyday lives easier. But creative problem solving, complex architectural planning and a deep understanding of the requirements – that remains a very human domain. Conclusion: AI is a helper, not a magic genie.
How true? 30 percent – GenAI can take over many routine tasks, but cannot replace human expertise.
- “GenAI makes everything child’s play – it’s just pessimism to think differently.”
The illusion of a simple GenAI project can quickly evaporate. Anyone who thought they could get through the digital transformation with just a few mouse clicks will be proven wrong in 2025. That’s because GenAI doesn’t just mean waving a wand. It takes work. Preparing data, training models, monitoring results – the road is rocky, but it’s worth it. The effort pays off if the technology is used efficiently.
How true? 20 percent – Implementing projects is becoming easier than ever before, but it is still far from guaranteed success.
- “The Nobel Prize for Literature goes to OpenAI.”
AI fans firmly believed that the first Nobel Prize for an algorithm was only a matter of time. But even in 2025, the literary scene will still be dominated by people. Why? Because true creativity is more than just stringing together probabilities. Without intuition, emotion and life experience, GenAI remains a brilliant imitator, but not a true artist. In short: humans have that certain something that can’t just be poured into code.
How true? 5 percent – after all, Bob Dylan has already won the Nobel Prize once.
- “AI will become conscious.”
Here’s some reassuring news for sceptics: the dystopia of omnipotent machines will still be science fiction this year. GenAI isn’t conscious and doesn’t have its own goals – it’s just a tool. Instead, these applications are profiting from the widespread tendency to anthropomorphise technology, i.e. to attribute human characteristics to it. The dan-ger lies elsewhere: the problem is not the AI itself, but its potential misuse by humans. That’s why clear regulations and responsible monitoring are essential.
How true? 0 percent – GenAI is just a tool.
